Economic Update, July 10, 2017





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TPhillip Allen Inc.

 

WEEKLY ECONOMIC UPDATE

 

 

WEEKLY QUOTE
              
“To know oneself is to study oneself in action with another person.”

– Bruce Lee

WEEKLY TIP
             
Many life and auto insurance policies offer the buyer the option to pay premiums on a month-to-month or quarterly basis. While this option is convenient, these fractional premiums sometimes prove more expensive than a lump-sum premium paid annually.

WEEKLY RIDDLE
            
In many homes and offices, this can go up and down stairs without moving. What is it?
   
 
Last week’s riddle:
I have an eye, yet cannot see the ground around me. I take time to generate, yet in seconds I can dissipate. What am I?
  
Last week’s answer:
A tornado.

 

 

 

 

 

July 10, 2016

   

HIRING PICKS UP AGAIN
The Department of Labor announced some good news Friday: the creation of 222,000 net new jobs in June, the largest hiring gain in four months. Approximately 4.7 million people reentered the labor force and found work in June, a peak unmatched in 27 years of monthly data. Wages rose 0.2% for an annualized gain of 2.5%. The main unemployment rate ticked north to 4.4% as more Americans joined the job hunt; the U-6 rate, including the underemployed, increased 0.2% to 8.6%, its first rise since January.1
   
ISM FACTORY PMI HITS 3-YEAR PEAK
In June, the Institute for Supply Management’s globally watched manufacturing purchasing manager index improved 2.9 points to 57.8, its highest reading since August 2014. ISM’s non-manufacturing PMI rose to 57.4 after a half-point gain; its June reading signaled the 90th straight month of expansion for the country’s service sector.2,3
 
GOLD SETTLES AT ITS LOWEST PRICE SINCE MARCH
The yellow metal fell to a COMEX close of $1,209.70 Friday. It is now on a 5-week losing streak. The price of gold sank 2.6% last week, while the price of silver dropped 6.9%; silver ended the week down at $15.43.4
   
MAJOR INDICES MAKE SMALL WEEKLY GAINS
Across a stretch of choppy trading days, the S&P 500 added just 0.07% to close at 2,425.18 Friday. The Nasdaq Composite and Dow Jones Industrial Average posted respective, 5-day advances of 0.21% and 0.30%. The Nasdaq wrapped up Friday’s market day at 6,153.08; the Dow, at 21,414.34.5
   
THIS WEEK: Monday, Barracuda Networks and WD-40 present earnings. On Tuesday, earnings appear from PepsiCo and Yum! Brands. Wednesday, Federal Reserve chair Janet Yellen visits Capitol Hill to begin two days of testimony on monetary policy in Congress; in addition, the Fed releases a new Beige Book, and Fastenal reports Q2 results. Thursday, Wall Street considers a new initial jobless claims report, plus the June Producer Price Index. On Friday, a river of data arrives: a new earnings season begins with announcements from Citigroup, JPMorgan Chase, PNC Financial Services Group, and Wells Fargo, complementing the initial July University of Michigan consumer sentiment index, the June Consumer Price Index, and June retail sales and industrial production reports.

% CHANGE Y-T-D 1-YR CHG 5-YR AVG 10-YR AVG
DJIA 8.36 19.66 13.53 5.73
NASDAQ 14.3 26.17 21.9 13.08
S&P 500 8.32 15.6 15.8 5.85
REAL YIELD 7/7 RATE 1 YR AGO 5 YRS AGO 10 YRS AGO
10 YR TIPS 0.66% -0.03% -0.53% 2.79%

 

Sources: wsj.com, bigcharts.com, treasury.gov – 7/8/166,7,8,9
Indices are unmanaged, do not incur fees or expenses, and cannot be invested into directly. These returns do not include dividends. 10-year TIPS real yield = projected return at maturity given expected inflation.

 

 

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 This material was prepared by MarketingPro, Inc., and does not necessarily represent the views of the presenting party, nor their affiliates. This information has been derived from sources believed to be accurate. Please note – investing involves risk, and past performance is no guarantee of future results. The publisher is not engaged in rendering legal, accounting or other professional services. If assistance is needed, the reader is advised to engage the services of a competent professional. This information should not be construed as investment, tax or legal advice and may not be relied on for the purpose of avoiding any Federal tax penalty. This is neither a solicitation nor recommendation to purchase or sell any investment or insurance product or service, and should not be relied upon as such. All indices are unmanaged and are not illustrative of any particular investment. The Dow Jones Industrial Average is a price-weighted index of 30 actively traded blue-chip stocks. The NASDAQ Composite Index is an unmanaged, market-weighted index of all over-the-counter common stocks traded on the National Association of Securities Dealers Automated Quotation System. The Standard & Poor’s 500 (S&P 500) is an unmanaged group of securities considered to be representative of the stock market in general. It is not possible to invest directly in an index. NYSE Group, Inc. (NYSE:NYX) operates two securities exchanges: the New York Stock Exchange (the “NYSE”) and NYSE Arca (formerly known as the Archipelago Exchange, or ArcaEx®, and the Pacific Exchange). NYSE Group is a leading provider of securities listing, trading and market data products and services. The New York Mercantile Exchange, Inc. (NYMEX) is the world’s largest physical commodity futures exchange and the preeminent trading forum for energy and precious metals, with trading conducted through two divisions – the NYMEX Division, home to the energy, platinum, and palladium markets, and the COMEX Division, on which all other metals trade. Additional risks are associated with international investing, such as currency fluctuations, political and economic instability and differences in accounting standards. This material represents an assessment of the market environment at a specific point in time and is not intended to be a forecast of future events, or a guarantee of future results. Past performance is no guarantee of future results. Investments will fluctuate and when redeemed may be worth more or less than when originally invested. All economic and performance data is historical and not indicative of future results. Market indices discussed are unmanaged. Investors cannot invest in unmanaged indices. The publisher is not engaged in rendering legal, accounting or other professional services. If assistance is needed, the reader is advised to engage the services of a competent professional.

 

Citations.

1 – bloomberg.com/news/articles/2017-07-07/wage-weakness-amid-solid-hiring-adds-to-u-s-economic-puzzle [7/7/17]
2 – cnbc.com/2017/07/03/june-ism-manufacturing-index.html [7/3/17]
3 – instituteforsupplymanagement.org/ISMReport/NonMfgROB.cfm?SSO=1 [7/6/17]
4 – marketwatch.com/story/gold-slips-set-for-weekly-decline-ahead-of-jobs-report-2017-07-07 [7/7/17]
5 – markets.wsj.com/us [7/7/17]
6 – bigcharts.marketwatch.com/historical/default.asp?symb=DJIA&closeDate=7%2F7%2F16&x=0&y=0 [7/7/17]
6 – bigcharts.marketwatch.com/historical/default.asp?symb=COMP&closeDate=7%2F7%2F16&x=0&y=0 [7/7/17]
6 – bigcharts.marketwatch.com/historical/default.asp?symb=SPX&closeDate=7%2F7%2F16&x=0&y=0 [7/7/17]
6 – bigcharts.marketwatch.com/historical/default.asp?symb=DJIA&closeDate=7%2F6%2F12&x=0&y=0 [7/7/17]
6 – bigcharts.marketwatch.com/historical/default.asp?symb=COMP&closeDate=7%2F6%2F12&x=0&y=0 [7/7/17]
6 – bigcharts.marketwatch.com/historical/default.asp?symb=SPX&closeDate=7%2F6%2F12&x=0&y=0 [7/7/17]
6 – bigcharts.marketwatch.com/historical/default.asp?symb=DJIA&closeDate=7%2F6%2F07&x=0&y=0 [7/7/17]
6 – bigcharts.marketwatch.com/historical/default.asp?symb=COMP&closeDate=7%2F6%2F07&x=0&y=0 [7/7/17]
6 – bigcharts.marketwatch.com/historical/default.asp?symb=SPX&closeDate=7%2F6%2F07&x=0&y=0 [7/7/17]
7 – treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/Pages/TextView.aspx?data=realyield [7/7/17]
8 – treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/Pages/TextView.aspx?data=realyieldAll [7/7/17]

 


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